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2024-12-14 00:37:25
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December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!


For today's disk, although American technology stocks have skyrocketed, Lao Liu would like to remind that once A shares follow the mapping to speculate on technology stocks, careful consumption and robot direction will be diverted. Therefore, chasing up is not safe, and short-term follow-up with hot money can be done!Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!However, these batters don't suffer from pain, and it is estimated that this rhythm will not stop. There is not much we can do. As I said in the inner circle yesterday, if you want to play the board, you must be prepared to eat the limit every other day. If you have this expectation, you can still play. If you don't have the ability to accept it, you can do your own transaction with peace of mind.


When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Technically, as I have repeatedly suggested in the article, Tuesday's false negative line is a small high point. Before there is no counter-package to recover lost ground, the market estimates that Xiaoyang Xiaoyin has a high probability of continuing to shake and consolidate, so don't expect a big rise or a big fall, lower expectations, and try the market.After all, the board must be broken or down in the end, and the game is just a personal understanding of funds, emotions and news. It has nothing to do with fundamentals and logic. What is vividly interpreted here is eat small fish, a big fish. When a small fish eats shrimp, the shrimp can only eat dirt.

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